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Conference League
Referee: R Obrenovic
Mainz
U S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Strasbourg
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
60%
70%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
30%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,61 xG 1,00
34% Possession 66%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Mainz Strasbourg
1–0 K. Sano ⚽
S. Kawasaki
11′
2–0 S. Posch ⚽
P. Nebel
19′
31′
🟨 Guéla Doué
Half-time 2–0
64′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ G. Yassine
64′
🔁 D. Moreira
↦ M. Oyedele
A. Sieb 🔁
↦ N. Weiper
69′
N. Veratschnig 🔁
↦ P. Mwene
69′
W. Boving 🔁
↦ S. Kawasaki
70′
K. Potulski 🔁
↦ S. Widmer
80′
85′
🔁 S. Nanasi
↦ M. Godo
L. Maloney 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
89′
Stefan Posch 🟨
95′
Armindo Sieb 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Diego Moreira
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mainz

3-5-2
33 D. Batz G
21 D. da Costa D
4 S. Posch D
31 D. Kohr D
30 S. Widmer M
8 P. Nebel M
6 K. Sano M
24 S. Kawasaki M
2 P. Mwene M
44 N. Weiper F
20 P. Tietz F
Bench (10)
1 L. Riess
35 L. Babatz
15 L. Maloney
11 A. Sieb
36 F. Moreno Fell
14 W. Boving
42 D. Gleiber
22 N. Veratschnig
48 K. Potulski
34 D. Imafidon

Coach: Urs Fischer

Strasbourg

4-4-1-1
39 M. Penders G
22 G. Doue D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
3 B. Chilwell D
80 G. Yassine M
32 V. Barco M
8 M. Oyedele M
20 M. Godo M
29 S. El Mourabet F
19 J. Enciso F
Bench (11)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
11 S. Nanasi
10 E. Emegha
7 D. Moreira
17 M. Amougou
37 G. Kodia
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 R. Luis
24 L. Hogsberg
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.