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Conference League
Referee: Joakim Ostling
Polessya
T T T S
3–0
Full-time
Paks
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polessya Paks
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Polessya Paks
Eduard Sarapiyy 🟨
27′
1–0 O. Andriyevski ⚽
B. Krushynskyi
41′
2–0 D. Beskorovaynyi ⚽
B. Lednev
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Hahn
↦ Z. Haraszti
46′
🔁 A. Osvath
↦ B. Balogh
Borys Krushynskyi 🟨
49′
3–0 B. Lednev ⚽
B. Krushynskyi
58′
O. Nazarenko 🔁
↦ B. Krushynskyi
63′
M. Gayduchyk 🔁
↦ O. Filippov
63′
64′
🔁 D. Bode
↦ B. Toth
71′
🔁 K. Horvath
↦ K. Hinora
Talles Costa 🔁
↦ O. Andriyevski
78′
T. Yosefi 🔁
↦ B. Lednev
78′
81′
🔁 M. Szekszardi
↦ K. Papp
84′
ℹ️ Bálint Vécsei
VAR: Goal cancelled
A. Hadroj 🔁
↦ M. Kravchenko
87′
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
91′
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 🟥
92′
95′
🟨 Ákos Kinyik
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Polessya

4-3-3
23 Y. Volynets G
4 M. Kravchenko D
5 E. Sarapiy D
13 D. Beskorovaynyi D
15 B. Mykhaylichenko D
18 O. Andriyevski M
8 R. Babenko M
30 B. Lednev M
11 O. Gutsulyak F
9 O. Filippov F
55 B. Krushynskyi F
Bench (11)
1 O. Kudryk
99 V. Uliganets
2 A. Hadroj
6 Talles Costa
7 O. Nazarenko
10 T. Yosefi
40 A. Goncalves
44 S. Chobotenko
50 Y. Mykytyuk
60 M. Melnychenko
89 M. Gayduchyk

Coach: Ruslan Rotan

Paks

3-1-4-2
1 A. Kovacsik G
30 J. Szabo D
2 A. Kinyik
5 B. Vecsei D
8 B. Balogh M
17 K. Hinora
22 J. Windecker M
21 K. Papp M
20 M. Zeke M
10 Z. Haraszti F
29 B. Toth F
Bench (11)
25 B. Simon
3 A. Debreceni
9 J. Hahn
11 A. Osvath
13 D. Bode
14 E. Silye
15 A. Szendrei
18 G. Gyurkits
19 K. Horvath
23 M. Peto
26 M. Szekszardi

Coach: György Bognár

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joakim Ostling · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.