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Europa League
Referee: Balazs Berke
KuPS
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Rīgas FS
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KuPS Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -25 Rīgas FS – KuPS 1–2

Match report

KuPS Rīgas FS
2′
🟨 Roberts Veips
Jaakko Oksanen 🟨
10′
Bob Nii Armah 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 H. Njie
↦ R. Veips
J. Luyeye-Lutumba 🔁
↦ J. Voutilainen
46′
1–0 P. Pennanen ⚽
O. Ruoppi
49′
53′
🔁 D. Lemajic
↦ D. Ikaunieks
53′
🔁 J. Porsan Clemente
↦ S. Rakic
65′
🔁 M. Kigurs
↦ B. Diedhiou
80′
🔁 E. Stuglis
↦ A. Filipovic
Doni Arifi 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Žiga Lipušček
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ M. Toure
84′
P. Ricardo 🔁
↦ P. Pennanen
87′
A. Hakala 🔁
↦ J. Kreidl
98′
L. Sahimaa 🔁
↦ S. Miettinen
98′
100′
🟨 Stefan Panić
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

KuPS

4-3-3
1 J. Kreidl
6 S. Savolainen
15 I. Cisse
16 S. Miettinen
24 B. Armah
13 J. Oksanen
10 D. Arifi
7 J. Voutilainen
34 O. Ruoppi
20 M. Toure
8 P. Pennanen
Bench (9)
12 A. Hakala
4 P. Ricardo
9 P. Parzyszek
11 A. Sadiku
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
26 R. Salo
28 S. Seidu
30 L. Sahimaa
32 R. Tikkanen

Coach: Jarkko Juhani Wiss

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
35 M. Maric
11 R. Savalnieks
4 R. Veips
43 Z. Lipuscek
2 A. Filipovic
81 S. Rakic
26 S. Panic
71 B. Diedhiou
18 D. Zelenkovs
70 M. Talla
9 D. Ikaunieks
Bench (10)
13 S. Vilkovs
16 J. Nerugals
21 E. Stuglis
22 D. Lemajic
25 P. Mares
30 H. Njie
32 Facu
37 T. Wouter
49 M. Kigurs
77 J. Porsan Clemente

Coach: Viktors Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.