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Conference League
Referee: A Ladebäck
Dečić
T U S U T
2–1
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dečić HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 HJK Helsinki – Dečić 1–0

Match report

Dečić HJK Helsinki
1–0 I. Puleio ⚽
26′
Stefan Milić 🟨
40′
43′
⚽ L. Plange 1–1
Half-time 1–1
O. Stijepović 🔁
↦ V. Striković
46′
46′
🔁 G. Antzoulas
↦ A. Halme
46′
🔁 K. Palumets
↦ O. Kökçü
Petar Sekulović 🟨
54′
I. Camaj 🔁
↦ B. Matić
64′
M. Božanović 🔁
↦ P. Sekulović
64′
A. Mašović 🔁
↦ I. Puleio
71′
D. Božović 🔁
↦ A. Kajević
71′
80′
🔁 L. Möller
↦ L. Plange
Caique Chagas 🟨
81′
86′
🔁 B. Lyons-Foster
↦ G. Kanellopoulos
Ilir Camaj 🟨
88′
92′
🟨 Lucas Lingman
93′
🔁 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↦ S. Hostikka
2–1 A. Mašović ⚽
94′
Alen Mašović 🟨
96′
105′
🟨 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
105′
🔁 K. Meriluoto
↦ M. Ylitolva
113′
🟨 Lee Erwin
Ognjen Stijepović 🟨
115′
120′
🟨 Kai Meriluoto
3–1 D. Božović ⚽
121′
122′
❌ L. Lingman
penalty missed
4–1 Caíque ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ L. Erwin 4–2
O. Stijepović ❌
penalty missed
125′
126′
❌ K. Meriluoto
penalty missed
5–2 A. Mašović ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ D. Tomas 5–3
I. Camaj ❌
penalty missed
129′
130′
⚽ L. Möller 5–4
J. Drešaj ❌
penalty missed
131′
132′
⚽ K. Palumets 5–5
Full-time 5–5

Line-ups

Dečić

4-2-3-1
1 I. Nikić G
22 J. Drešaj D
4 S. Milić D
5 Ž. Tomašević D
6 L. Malešević D
20 P. Sekulović D
8 Caíque M
11 I. Puleio M
10 A. Kajević M
77 V. Striković F
50 B. Matić F
Bench (12)
33 O. Stijepović
9 I. Camaj
16 M. Božanović
12 A. Mašović
7 D. Božović
18 L. Maraš
13 P. Velimirović
15 P. Ljuljđuraj
17 L. Ujkaj
74 S. Balić
3 R. Đejaj
14 A. Bajović

Coach: M. Peković

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
25 T. Nijhuis G
28 M. Ylitolva D
45 D. Tomas D
6 A. Halme D
23 O. Kökçü F
10 L. Lingman M
8 G. Kanellopoulos M
30 N. Pallas D
9 L. Plange F
94 L. Erwin F
7 S. Hostikka F
Bench (10)
3 G. Antzoulas
80 K. Palumets
22 L. Möller
2 B. Lyons-Foster
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
42 K. Meriluoto
24 M. Boamah
1 J. Öst
99 A. Albanese
17 H. Bandé

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.