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Europa League
Referee: A Treimanis
Elfsborg
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 57%
80%
33%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,4
0,7
Conceded
0,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 HNK Rijeka – Elfsborg 1–1

Match report

Elfsborg HNK Rijeka
I. Buhari 🔁
↦ G. Henriksson
35′
39′
🟨 Toni Fruk
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Dejan Petrovič
Michael Baidoo 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 G. Rukavina
↦ T. Fruk
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ P. Frick
66′
1–0 M. Baidoo
A. Qasem
68′
73′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ V. Hodža
73′
🔁 E. Banda
↦ D. Petrovič
81′
🟨 Niko Janković
Sebastian Holmén 🟨
83′
2–0 A. Qasem
A. Zeneli
83′
84′
🔁 N. Djouahra
↦ N. Janković
84′
🔁 Š. Butić
↦ B. Bogojević
89′
🟨 Martin Zlomislić
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
4 G. Henriksson D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
16 T. Ouma M
23 N. Hult D
18 A. Qasem M
10 M. Baidoo M
17 P. Frick F
Bench (12)
29 I. Buhari
9 A. Zeneli
7 J. Thomasen
24 C. Jebara
26 L. Richtnér
19 R. Kaib
13 J. Larsson
6 A. Baldursson
12 L. Östman
30 M. Bundgaard
1 M. Uppenberg
11 E. Guðmundsson

Coach: O. Hiljemark

HNK Rijeka

4-1-4-1
13 M. Zlomislić G
30 B. Bogojević D
5 N. Galešić D
6 S. Radeljić D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovič M
87 Marco Pašalić M
25 V. Hodža M
10 T. Fruk M
4 N. Janković M
11 F. Ivanović F
Bench (11)
41 G. Rukavina
18 L. Selahi
12 E. Banda
7 N. Djouahra
27 Š. Butić
24 B. Burčul
29 A. Babić
28 I. Smolčić
45 A. Majstorović
21 S. Ilinković
1 J. Posavec

Coach: R. Đalović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.