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Champions League
Referee: C Pawson
HJK Helsinki
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Panevėžys
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Panevėžys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jul -24 Panevėžys – HJK Helsinki 3–0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Panevėžys
Santeri Hostikka 🟨
9′
Aapo Halme 🟨
15′
1–0 L. Erwin ⚽
S. Hostikka
38′
45′
⚽ E. Veliulis 1–1
Half-time 1–1
J. Toivio 🔁
↦ M. Boamah
46′
L. Plange 🔁
↦ K. Meriluoto
46′
M. Ylitolva 🔁
↦ B. Lyons-Foster
46′
K. Palumets 🔁
↦ L. Lingman
56′
64′
🟨 Rokas Rasimavicius
A. Albanese 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
65′
65′
🔁 N. Mbo
↦ S. Gussiås
65′
🔁 N. Bosančić
↦ F. Palacios
Topi Keskinen 🟨
76′
80′
🔁 M. Beneta
↦ E. Veliulis
87′
🔁 N. Lukšys
↦ Lucas de Vega
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-5-2
1 J. Öst G
2 B. Lyons-Foster D
24 M. Boamah D
6 A. Halme D
18 T. Keskinen F
8 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
7 S. Hostikka F
30 N. Pallas D
94 L. Erwin F
42 K. Meriluoto F
Bench (12)
4 J. Toivio
9 L. Plange
28 M. Ylitolva
80 K. Palumets
99 A. Albanese
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
11 A. Olusanya
22 L. Möller
17 H. Bandé
85 N. Mäenpää
37 A. Tanaka
45 D. Tomas

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Panevėžys

4-2-3-1
22 E. Tîmbur G
32 R. Rasimavičius D
4 K. Dubra D
2 L. Klimavičius D
72 R. Mazáň D
5 N. Gorobsov M
20 J. Čađenović M
7 E. Veliulis M
31 F. Palacios M
10 Lucas de Vega M
28 S. Gussiås F
Bench (9)
36 N. Mbo
88 N. Bosančić
29 M. Beneta
17 N. Lukšys
1 V. Černiauskas
97 A. Karvatskyi
13 D. Bukel
23 J. Sarpong
15 M. Cacutalua

Coach: S. Vreven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.