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Conference League
Referee: R Hennessy
Zrinjski
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Botev Plovdiv
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski Botev Plovdiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 Botev Plovdiv – Zrinjski 2–1

Match report

Zrinjski Botev Plovdiv
K. Memija 🔁
↦ J. Ćorluka
6′
Frano Mlinar ❌
penalty missed
22′
28′
🟨 Christian Nwachukwu
34′
🟨 Hans Christian Bernat
1–0 N. Mulahusejnović ⚽
39′
40′
🟥 Antoine Conte
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Diabaté
↦ M. Sekulić
46′
🔁 E. Ukaki
↦ S. Akere
Frano Mlinar 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Joonas Tamm
56′
🔁 A. Korošec
↦ C. Nwachukwu
T. Kiš 🔁
↦ F. Mlinar
62′
I. Savić 🔁
↦ I. Posavec
62′
70′
🟨 Yanis Karabelyov
B. Abdurahimi 🔁
↦ M. Malekinušić
80′
80′
🔁 A. Maraš
↦ I. Popov
2–0 T. Kiš ⚽
82′
85′
🔁 V. Triboulet
↦ Y. Karabelyov
96′
🟨 Konstantinos Balogiannis
Full-time 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.