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Conference League
Referee: S Ebner
Pafos
T T T
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
3,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-1,5
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Pafos FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–0 M. Tankovic
21′
37′
🟥 Younn Zahary
40′
🔁 M. Mazur
↦ N. Petković
Half-time 1–0
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Jajá
63′
Pedro Pelágio 🔁
↦ M. Name
63′
67′
🟨 Joris Moutachy
O. Valakari 🔁
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
71′
90′
🔁 A. Hodžić
↦ L. Antal
K. Pileas 🔁
↦ M. Melluso
96′
96′
🔁 A. Fofana
↦ P. Golubickas
2–0 Anderson Silva
101′
105′
🟨 Yuri Kendysh
113′
🔁 N. Mihajlović
↦ G. Matulevičius
113′
🔁 M. Šetkus
↦ Y. Karashima
M. Ilia 🔁
↦ Jairo
114′
3–0 V. Dragomir
118′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Pafos

4-4-2
1 I. Ivušić G
23 D. Luckassen D
25 M. Name M
5 David Goldar D
3 M. Melluso D
7 Bruno Felipe M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
30 V. Dragomir M
22 M. Tankovic M
10 Jairo F
11 Jajá F
Bench (11)
33 Anderson Silva
6 Pedro Pelágio
24 O. Valakari
2 K. Pileas
70 M. Ilia
83 P. Theodoulou
81 G. Kolotas
34 Diogo Dall'Igna
93 N. Michael
45 Rafael Pontelo
80 C. Efzona

Coach: Carcedo

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
96 Á. Tordai G
26 Y. Zahary D
45 J. Moutachy D
77 Y. Kendysh D
7 J. Bopesu D
8 Y. Karashima M
22 O. Verbickas M
17 G. Matulevičius M
10 P. Golubickas M
80 L. Antal F
11 N. Petković F
Bench (9)
18 M. Mazur
15 A. Hodžić
2 A. Fofana
71 N. Mihajlović
41 M. Šetkus
56 J. Aliukonis
1 D. Marković
12 J. Larsson
44 P. Matyžonok

Coach: V. Cheburin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.