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Conference League
Referee: M McDermid
Bala Town
T S
1–2
Full-time
Paide
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bala Town Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Bala Town Paide
45′
🟨 Milan Delević
Half-time 0–0
Naim Arsan 🟨
52′
O. Abadaki 🔁
↦ L. Robles
55′
56′
🔁 A. Ceesay
↦ D. Jepihhin
64′
⚽ A. Ceesay 0–1
82′
🔁 D. Luts
↦ S. Luts
U. Kargbo 🔁
↦ N. Arsan
83′
J. Ukek 🔁
↦ G. Newell
83′
83′
🔁 T. Agyepong
↦ P. Kristal
83′
🔁 O. Hõim
↦ R. Saarma
86′
🟨 Oskar Hoim
J. Malkin 🔁
↦ A. Edwards
90′
92′
⚽ P. Medić 0–2
94′
🟨 Ebrima Jarju
1–2 J. Ukek ⚽
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bala Town

4-3-3
1 J. Torrance G
2 A. Downes D
23 R. White D
24 K. Harrison D
28 N. Arsan D
6 A. Edwards M
4 N. Peate D
18 L. Robles M
9 G. Newell F
27 K. Smith M
7 Lassana Mendes M
Bench (9)
12 O. Abadaki
3 U. Kargbo
11 J. Ukek
10 J. Malkin
8 N. Burke
16 T. Hughes
15 D. Clark
17 Samba Badjana
14 K. Petro

Coach: C. Caton

Paide

4-3-3
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
23 M. Delević D
5 G. Juhkam D
29 J. Saliste D
6 P. Kristal M
16 P. Medić M
19 S. Luts M
14 R. Saarma F
8 Henrik Ojamaa M
17 D. Jepihhin M
Bench (12)
20 A. Ceesay
41 D. Luts
80 T. Agyepong
28 O. Hõim
24 M. Suso
10 A. Frolov
27 N. Baranov
56 M. Sapp
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
7 H. Riiberg
9 K. Piht
1 M. Aksalu

Coach: I. Stojković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.