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Conference League
Referee: I Orlic
Guimaraes
S T T S S
4–0
Full-time
Floriana
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Floriana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Floriana – Guimaraes 0–1

Match report

Guimaraes Floriana
1–0 Kaio César ⚽
8′
2–0 Jorge Fernandes ⚽
11′
3–0 Ricardo Mangas ⚽
37′
4–0 Ricardo Mangas ⚽
43′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 C. Lonardelli
↦ O. Spiteri
46′
🔁 G. Yaméogo
↦ Fernandinho
Samu 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
64′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ J. Ramírez
64′
64′
🔁 M. Veselji
↦ Thiaguinho Santos
72′
🔁 K. Nwoko
↦ K. Reid
Manu 🔁
↦ Tomás Händel
74′
Telmo Arcanjo 🔁
↦ João Teixeira Mendes
75′
Bica 🔁
↦ Kaio César
75′
81′
🔁 A. Obonogwu
↦ J. Grech
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
76 Bruno Gaspar M
44 Jorge Fernandes D
24 T. Borevković D
13 João Teixeira Mendes D
10 Tiago Silva M
8 Tomás Händel M
77 Nuno Santos M
37 Kaio César F
9 J. Ramírez F
19 Ricardo Mangas M
Bench (12)
20 Samu
7 Nélson Oliveira
6 Manu
18 Telmo Arcanjo
79 Bica
3 M. Villanueva
27 Charles
28 Zé Carlos
4 Tomás Ribeiro
2 Miguel Maga
5 Marco Cruz
52 Alberto Baio

Coach: Rui Borges

Floriana

3-5-2
45 C. Mafoumbi G
17 O. Spiteri D
4 O. El Hasni D
55 A. Kouros D
77 A. Garzia D
20 M. García M
8 J. Grech M
12 D. Vella M
70 Fernandinho D
11 Thiaguinho Santos M
9 K. Reid F
Bench (9)
21 C. Lonardelli
79 G. Yaméogo
7 M. Veselji
22 K. Nwoko
90 A. Obonogwu
14 E. Micallef
99 N. Andrijanić
23 C. Buttigieg
37 R. Cutajar

Coach: D. Abdilla

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.