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Conference League
Referee: C Pawson
Olympiakos
S S S S S
1–4
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/12 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
0%
58%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,20 xG 2,04
64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olympiakos Maccabi Tel Aviv
4′
⚽ E. Zahavi 0–1
Milson
9′
⚽ I. Shahar 0–2
1–2 A. El Kaabi ⚽
K. Fortounis
13′
20′
🟨 Gabi Kanikovski
30′
⚽ E. Zahavi 1–3
Milson
38′
🟨 Ido Shahar
Half-time 1–3
57′
🟨 Roei Mashpati
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
67′
68′
🔁 D. Biton
↦ O. Davida
74′
⚽ Dor Peretz 1–4
G. Kanichowsky
77′
🔁 D. Turgeman
↦ E. Zahavi
77′
🔁 E. Kartsev
↦ J. van Overeem
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
78′
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ Daniel Podence
78′
82′
🔁 E. Golasa
↦ G. Kanichowsky
82′
🔁 O. Davidzada
↦ Milson
84′
🟨 Roy Revivo
Iborra 🔁
↦ André Horta
84′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
84′
Vicente Iborra 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
6 Chiquinho M
7 K. Fortounis M
5 André Horta M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
19 G. Masouras
22 S. Jovetić
20 João Carvalho
8 Iborra
11 Y. El-Arabi
18 Quini
74 A. Ntoi
99 T. Papadoudis
27 O. Richards
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1
90 R. Mishpati G
36 I. Shahar D
5 I. Nachmias D
4 Enric Saborit D
3 R. Revivo D
14 J. van Overeem M
77 O. Davida M
42 Dor Peretz M
16 G. Kanichowsky M
17 Milson M
7 E. Zahavi F
Bench (12)
10 D. Biton
9 D. Turgeman
72 E. Kartsev
23 E. Golasa
27 O. Davidzada
70 Kiko Bondoso
19 Daniel
30 M. Baltaxa
22 O. Mosquera
2 A. Cohen
11 Y. Cohen
31 A. Cordova

Coach: R. Keane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.