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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Freiburg
U U S T U
1–0
Full-time
West Ham
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 73%
63%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 1,45
58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Dec -23 West Ham – Freiburg 2–0 5. Oct -23 Freiburg – West Ham 1–2

Match report

Freiburg West Ham
Kiliann Sildillia 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Roland Sallai 🟨
50′
58′
🟨 Lucas Paquetá
68′
🔁 A. Cresswell
↦ Emerson
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
70′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ L. Höler
70′
81′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ J. Ward-Prowse
1–0 M. Gregoritsch ⚽
R. Sallai
81′
L. Kübler 🔁
↦ K. Sildillia
82′
F. Muslija 🔁
↦ R. Doan
82′
M. Röhl 🔁
↦ R. Sallai
88′
91′
🔁 M. Antonio
↦ Lucas Paquetá
98′
ℹ️ Tomáš Souček
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-1-4-1
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
5 M. Gulde D
30 C. Günter D
27 N. Höfler M
42 R. Doan M
8 M. Eggestein M
9 L. Höler M
32 V. Grifo M
22 R. Sallai F
Bench (12)
7 N. Weißhaupt
38 M. Gregoritsch
17 L. Kübler
23 F. Muslija
34 M. Röhl
21 F. Müller
6 A. Szalai
33 J. Makengo
14 Y. Keitel
31 B. Uphoff
20 J. Adamu
26 M. Philipp

Coach: C. Streich

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
4 K. Zouma D
33 Emerson D
28 T. Souček M
19 E. Álvarez M
14 M. Kudus M
7 J. Ward-Prowse M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
20 J. Bowen F
Bench (12)
3 A. Cresswell
11 K. Phillips
9 M. Antonio
23 A. Areola
2 B. Johnson
40 G. Earthy
45 D. Mubama
18 D. Ings
61 L. Orford
42 K. Casey
49 J. Anang
21 A. Ogbonna

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.