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Conference League
Referee: E Jorgji
Ajax
U U S T S
0–0
Full-time
Aston Villa
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 82%
100%
63%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 0,23
60% Possession 40%
4 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Ajax Aston Villa
Sivert Mannsverk 🟨
24′
25′
🟨 Ezri Konsa
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Cash
↦ Pau Torres
63′
🔁 J. McGinn
↦ M. Diaby
63′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ M. Rogers
64′
🟨 Matty Cash
Tristan Gooijer 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 Álex Moreno
↦ L. Digne
74′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ T. Iroegbunam
76′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
B. van den Boomen 🔁
↦ S. Mannsverk
76′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
80′
83′
🟨 Ezri Konsa
83′
🟥 Ezri Konsa
Tristan Gooijer 🟨
86′
Tristan Gooijer 🟥
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ajax

3-4-3
40 D. Ramaj G
2 D. Rensch D
13 A. Kaplan D
4 J. Hato D
47 T. Gooijer M
6 J. Henderson M
16 S. Mannsverk M
25 B. Sosa M
38 K. Hlynsson F
9 B. Brobbey F
8 K. Taylor F
Bench (11)
21 B. van den Boomen
10 C. Akpom
3 A. Gaaei
11 Carlos Forbs
28 K. Fitz-Jim
1 G. Rulli
12 J. Gorter
19 J. Rijkhoff
42 A. Martha
33 B. Tahirović
18 J. Medić

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Aston Villa

4-4-2
1 E. Martínez G
4 E. Konsa D
17 C. Lenglet D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
19 M. Diaby M
47 T. Iroegbunam M
6 Douglas Luiz M
27 M. Rogers M
8 Y. Tielemans F
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (10)
2 M. Cash
7 J. McGinn
31 L. Bailey
15 Álex Moreno
22 N. Zaniolo
3 Diego Carlos
18 J. Gauci
29 K. Kesler-Hayden
71 O. Kellyman
25 R. Olsen

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.