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Europa League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Marseille
U T S S S
4–0
Full-time
Villarreal
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,05 xG 0,27
60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Marseille Villarreal
9′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
Quentin Merlin 🟨
13′
1–0 J. Veretout ⚽
J. Clauss
23′
1–1 Y. Mosquera ⚽
own goal
28′
Ismaïla Sarr ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
41′
2–1 P. Aubameyang ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Santi Comesaña
46′
🔁 Alberto Moreno
↦ A. Mandi
46′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ Santi Comesaña
46′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ Álex Baena
52′
🟨 Alberto Moreno
3–1 P. Aubameyang ⚽
A. Harit
59′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
60′
B. Meïté 🔁
↦ J. Clauss
60′
62′
🟨 Alberto Moreno
62′
🟥 Alberto Moreno
65′
🔁 Kiko Femenía
↦ Gerard Moreno
69′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ F. Coquelin
72′
🟨 Jorge Cuenca
Luis Henrique 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
73′
F. Moumbagna 🔁
↦ P. Aubameyang
85′
E. Soglo 🔁
↦ Q. Merlin
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Marseille

4-3-3
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
3 Q. Merlin D
27 J. Veretout M
19 G. Kondogbia M
11 A. Harit M
23 I. Sarr F
29 I. Ndiaye F
10 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (7)
8 A. Ounahi
18 B. Meïté
44 Luis Henrique
14 F. Moumbagna
37 E. Soglo
20 J. Correa
36 Rubén Blanco

Coach: J. Gasset

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
23 A. Mandi D
12 E. Bailly D
2 Y. Mosquera D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
27 Ilias Akhomach M
4 Santi Comesaña M
19 F. Coquelin M
16 Álex Baena M
7 Gerard Moreno F
9 Gonçalo Guedes F
Bench (10)
18 Alberto Moreno
10 Dani Parejo
11 A. Sørloth
17 Kiko Femenía
6 É. Capoue
26 Adrià Alti
14 Manu Trigueros
15 José Luis Morales
31 Iker Álvarez
13 F. Jørgensen

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.