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Europa League
Referee: H Feșnic
Leverkusen
S S S S S
5–1
Full-time
Qarabag
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,40 xG 0,85
62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Qarabag
1–0 F. Wirtz
4′
Florian Wirtz 🟨
15′
16′
T. Bayramov 1–1
19′
🟨 Leandro Andrade
2–1 Álex Grimaldo
F. Wirtz
29′
3–1 V. Boniface
F. Wirtz
35′
Robert Andrich 🟨
43′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🟨 Júlio Romão
46′
🔁 Y. Benzia
↦ Matheus Silva
4–1 Álex Grimaldo
F. Wirtz
54′
5–1 E. Tapsoba
57′
P. Schick 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
62′
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ G. Xhaka
62′
63′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ M. Janković
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
70′
J. Stanišić 🔁
↦ E. Tapsoba
71′
71′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ Leandro Andrade
71′
🔁 R. Xhixha
↦ Juninho
77′
🟨 Elvin Cafarquliyev
G. Puerta 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
80′
87′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ A. Zoubir
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
17 M. Kovář G
6 O. Kossounou D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
20 Álex Grimaldo D
8 R. Andrich M
34 G. Xhaka M
19 N. Tella M
10 F. Wirtz M
21 A. Adli M
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (11)
14 P. Schick
25 E. Palacios
23 A. Hložek
2 J. Stanišić
32 G. Puerta
1 L. Hrádecký
18 N. Mbamba
36 N. Lomb
30 J. Frimpong
4 J. Tah
7 J. Hofmann

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
27 T. Bayramov M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
7 Y. Benzia
66 Patrick Andrade
90 N. Axundzadə
19 R. Xhixha
17 H. Keyta
29 M. Vešović
4 R. Məmmədov
89 A. Ramazanov
5 M. Medvedev
55 B. Hüseynov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
20 R. Almeyda

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Feșnic · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.