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Conference League
Referee: C Theouli
Fiorentina
U S U S T
6–0
Full-time
Cukaricki
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Cukaricki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,27 xG 0,22
75% Possession 25%
24 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Fiorentina Cukaricki
6′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
1–0 L. Beltrán ⚽
L. Ranieri
6′
P. Comuzzo 🔁
↦ M. Kayode
8′
9′
🟨 Marko Docić
2–0 L. Beltrán ⚽
L. Martínez Quarta
10′
3–0 J. Ikoné ⚽
R. Mandragora
29′
37′
ℹ️ Luka Subotić
VAR: Card upgrade
38′
🟥 Luka Subotić
Half-time 3–0
N. Pierozzi 🔁
↦ F. Parisi
46′
46′
🔁 M. Cvetković
↦ S. Adetunji
46′
🔁 L. Adžić
↦ Đ. Ivanović
46′
🔁 V. Serafimović
↦ M. Docić
R. Sottil 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
58′
M'Bala Nzola 🔁
↦ L. Beltrán
58′
4–0 R. Sottil ⚽
65′
66′
🔁 I. N'Diaye
↦ V. Rogan
G. Infantino 🔁
↦ A. Barák
67′
5–0 L. Martínez Quarta ⚽
R. Sottil
73′
79′
🔁 S. Kovač
↦ N. Stanković
6–0 M. Lopez ⚽
G. Infantino
83′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
1 P. Terracciano G
33 M. Kayode D
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
16 L. Ranieri D
65 F. Parisi D
8 M. Lopez M
38 R. Mandragora M
11 J. Ikoné M
72 A. Barák M
99 C. Kouamé M
9 L. Beltrán F
Bench (12)
37 P. Comuzzo
70 N. Pierozzi
7 R. Sottil
18 M'Bala Nzola
19 G. Infantino
4 N. Milenković
77 J. Brekalo
73 L. Amatucci
10 N. González
32 A. Duncan
6 Arthur
53 O. Christensen

Coach: V. Italiano

Cukaricki

4-3-3
1 N. Belić G
2 V. Rogan D
22 O. Vranješ D
15 L. Subotić D
3 N. Tošić D
21 N. Stanković M
14 S. Sissoko M
5 M. Docić M
47 B. Nikčević F
9 S. Adetunji F
10 Đ. Ivanović F
Bench (12)
91 M. Cvetković
11 L. Adžić
30 V. Serafimović
72 I. N'Diaye
77 S. Kovač
4 B. Kovačević
70 A. Janković
17 L. Singh
23 F. Samurović
7 S. Tomović
45 I. Miladinović
24 N. Filipović

Coach: I. Matić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.