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Champions League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
Larne
U T T
2–2
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,7
2,3
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Corners 2
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jul -23 HJK Helsinki – Larne 1–0

Match report

Larne HJK Helsinki
26′
⚽ T. Ollila 0–1
T. Keskinen
C. Farquhar 🔁
↦ C. Bolger
34′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Öst
↦ D. Iliev
Aaron Donnelly 🟨
47′
56′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ A. Olusanya
64′
🟨 Jukka Raitala
1–1 L. Bonis ⚽
65′
71′
🔁 R. Riski
↦ T. Keskinen
Lee Bonis 🟨
73′
74′
🟨 Miro Tenho
I. Westendorf 🔁
↦ M. Glynn
76′
J. Thomson 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
76′
79′
🟨 Tuomas Ollila
2–1 J. Thomson ⚽
A. Ryan
87′
P. O'Neill 🔁
↦ A. Ryan
89′
90′
🔁 L. Möller
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
96′
⚽ S. Want 3–1
own goal
T. Maguire 🔁
↦ S. Gordon
98′
107′
🟨 Bojan Radulović
Shaun Want 🟨
110′
119′
🔁 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↦ P. Soiri
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
2 S. Want D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
25 D. Sloan M
16 S. Gordon M
22 M. Glynn D
29 A. Ryan F
10 L. Bonis F
21 L. Millar M
Bench (9)
5 C. Farquhar
17 I. Westendorf
6 J. Thomson
9 P. O'Neill
20 T. Maguire
7 D. Kearns
3 A. Omar
26 C. Smith
28 A. Dowling

Coach: T. Lynch

HJK Helsinki

4-3-3
25 D. Iliev G
22 J. Raitala D
4 J. Toivio D
15 M. Tenho D
2 T. Ollila D
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
18 T. Keskinen M
23 P. Soiri M
9 B. Radulović F
29 A. Olusanya F
Bench (7)
1 J. Öst
37 A. Tanaka
11 R. Riski
59 L. Möller
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
97 M. Boamah
52 A. Toivonen

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.