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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Pogon Szczecin

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,56 xG 1,18

57% Possession 43%

25 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

16 Corners 7

0 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 8. · Widzew Lodz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	-3.1	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
3	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
5	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
7	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
10	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
12	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
15	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+4.2	1
16	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
17	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.5	3
2	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
7	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
9	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
10	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
12	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
13	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
2	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
5	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
10	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
11	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
12	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.