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Europa League
Referee: E Jorgji
1–1
Full-time
Monaco
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Monaco
Endre Botka 🟨
24′
31′
W. Ben Yedder 0–1
A. Disasi
Dénes Dibusz 🟨
32′
41′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ Vanderson
Half-time 0–1
Marquinhos 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
46′
56′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
M. Bešić 🔁
↦ B. Vécsei
56′
T. Nguen 🔁
↦ L. Pászka
65′
Aissa Laïdouni 🟨
80′
1–1 K. Zachariassen
T. Nguen
81′
83′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ Y. Fofana
83′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ K. Volland
84′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ Marquinhos
91′
Muhamed Bešić 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
31 H. Wingo D
3 S. Mmaee D
21 E. Botka D
23 L. Pászka D
19 B. Vécsei M
93 A. Laïdouni M
16 K. Zachariassen M
14 A. Gojak M
20 A. Traoré M
8 R. Mmaee F
Bench (10)
50 Marquinhos
5 M. Bešić
10 T. Nguen
13 A. Esiti
76 K. Lisztes
15 A. Kovačević
70 F. Boli
1 Á. Bogdán
7 X. Mercier
62 L. Őri

Coach: S. Cherchesov

Monaco

3-4-1-2
16 A. Nübel G
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán D
5 B. Badiashile D
2 Vanderson M
19 Y. Fofana M
4 M. Camara M
12 Caio Henrique M
17 A. Golovin F
31 K. Volland F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (12)
27 K. Diatta
11 Jean Lucas
36 B. Embolo
18 T. Minamino
14 I. Jakobs
21 M. Akliouche
23 M. Sarr
44 E. Ben Seghir
30 T. Didillon
77 Gelson Martins
15 E. Matazo
9 M. Boadu

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.