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Europa League
Referee: E Eskås
Monaco
U T S S S
0–1
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monaco Ferencvarosi TC
Half-time 0–0
M. Akliouche 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
46′
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ Vanderson
46′
63′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ T. Nguen
64′
🔁 F. Boli
↦ R. Mmaee
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
66′
69′
🟨 Muhamed Bešić
70′
🔁 B. Vécsei
↦ M. Bešić
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
73′
Breel Embolo 🟨
77′
79′
⚽ B. Vécsei 0–1
A. Traoré
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ M. Sarr
81′
90′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ K. Zachariassen
94′
🟨 Adama Malouda Traoré
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Monaco

3-4-3
16 A. Nübel G
6 A. Disasi D
23 M. Sarr D
5 B. Badiashile D
2 Vanderson M
19 Y. Fofana M
4 M. Camara M
12 Caio Henrique M
27 K. Diatta F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
17 A. Golovin F
Bench (12)
21 M. Akliouche
26 R. Aguilar
36 B. Embolo
14 I. Jakobs
9 M. Boadu
77 Gelson Martins
18 T. Minamino
30 T. Didillon
11 Jean Lucas
41 S. Magassa
15 E. Matazo
99 Y. Okou

Coach: P. Clement

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
31 H. Wingo D
3 S. Mmaee D
4 M. Knoester D
21 E. Botka D
5 M. Bešić M
93 A. Laïdouni M
20 A. Traoré M
16 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Nguen M
8 R. Mmaee F
Bench (8)
14 A. Gojak
70 F. Boli
19 B. Vécsei
13 A. Esiti
1 Á. Bogdán
50 Marquinhos
62 L. Őri
7 X. Mercier

Coach: S. Cherchesov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.