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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Molde
U T T T S
3–1
Full-time
Stabaek
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 7. · Stabaek 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 10 6 3 1 +9 21
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +14 20
3 Sarpsborg 08 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Stabaek 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Aalesund 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Molde 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
9 Tromso 10 3 4 3 -1 13
10 Valerenga 10 4 1 5 -3 13
11 Sogndal 10 3 2 5 -2 11
12 Haugesund 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Kristiansund 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Stromsgodset 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Lillestrom 10 2 2 6 -7 8
16 Viking 10 1 2 7 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Stabaek
1–0 J. Toivio
4′
Eirik Hestad 🟨
10′
28′
🟨 Luc Kassi
Fredrik Aursnes 🟨
32′
2–0 F. Brustad
E. Hestad
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Gyasi
↦ T. Brochmann
Sander Svendsen 🟨
48′
58′
L. Kassi 2–1
E. Ba
Fredrik Aursnes 🟨
61′
Fredrik Aursnes 🟥
61′
S. Gregersen 🔁
↦ F. Brustad
63′
O. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ J. Toivio
69′
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
74′
Babacar Sarr 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 A. Nimely
↦ E. Ba
85′
🔁 S. Mauritz-Hansen
↦ A. Hanche-Olsen
90′
🟨 Tortol Lumanza
3–1 B. Sigurðarson
E. Hussain
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2
1 A. Linde G
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
11 S. Svendsen F
Bench (7)
6 S. Gregersen
3 O. Rindarøy
21 T. Svendsen
25 O. Karlsson
29 K. Strande
30 E. Håland
34 Neydson

Coach: O. Solskjær

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
22 G. Singh G
6 H. Skogseid D
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
8 E. Ba M
28 L. Kassi M
11 M. Njie M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
7 R. Gyasi
20 A. Nimely
9 S. Mauritz-Hansen
1 M. Sayouba
21 D. Granli
25 H. Vetlesen
45 M. Olsen

Coach: T. Ordinas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.