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Copa del Rey
Referee: M Busquets
0–0
Full-time
Celta
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sant Andreu Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,54
43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 26
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sant Andreu 48. · Celta 42.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +10 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 -0.4 6
6 La Coruna 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Santander 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Elche 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Palma del Rio 3 2 0 1 +4 6
13 Cultural Leonesa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
15 CF Talavera 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Albacete 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
21 Atlético Baleares 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.5 6
22 Levante 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Guadalajara 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
25 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +6 4
26 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
27 Real Murcia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Antoniano 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
30 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
31 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
32 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
33 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
34 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
35 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
36 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Numancia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Malaga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
48 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
52 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
54 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
55 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Real Ávila 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.4 3
57 Cieza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Torrent 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Sabadell 2 1 0 1 -1 3
60 Portugalete 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
62 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
63 Antequera 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Quintanar del Rey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Ebro 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
74 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -2 1
75 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
76 Reddis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Pontevedra 2 0 1 1 -3 1
80 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
81 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlètic Lleida 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Estepona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
111 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Sámano 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
121 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.