Copa del Rey
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sant Andreu
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Getafe
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +12 | – | 6 |
| 2 |
Alaves
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | – | 6 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | – | 6 |
| 4 |
Osasuna
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | – | 6 |
| 5 |
Vallecano
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | -0.4 | 6 |
| 6 |
La Coruna
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | – | 6 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 6 |
| 8 |
Santander
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 6 |
| 9 |
Elche
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 6 |
| 10 |
Huesca
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 6 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 6 |
| 12 |
Palma del Rio
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | – | 6 |
| 13 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | – | 6 |
| 14 |
Sant Just
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | – | 6 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | – | 6 |
| 16 |
Albacete
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | – | 6 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 6 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 6 |
| 19 |
Eldense
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 6 |
| 20 |
Sp Gijon
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 6 |
| 21 |
Atlético Baleares
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.5 | 6 |
| 22 |
Levante
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | – | 6 |
| 23 |
Guadalajara
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | – | 6 |
| 24 |
CD Sant Jordi
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 6 |
| 25 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +6 | – | 4 |
| 26 |
Puerto de Vega
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | – | 4 |
| 27 |
Real Murcia
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | – | 4 |
| 28 |
Antoniano
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | – | 4 |
| 29 |
Maracena
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | – | 4 |
| 30 |
CD Yuncos
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | – | 4 |
| 31 |
Deportivo Getxo
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -6 | – | 4 |
| 32 |
Inter de Valdemoro
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -9 | – | 4 |
| 33 |
Valencia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | – | 3 |
| 34 |
Granada
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | – | 3 |
| 35 |
Tenerife
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | – | 3 |
| 36 |
Sevilla
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 3 |
| 37 |
Andorra
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 38 |
Leganes
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 39 |
Numancia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 40 |
Extremadura 1924
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 41 |
Zaragoza
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 42 |
Celta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | – | 3 |
| 43 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 44 |
Ponferradina
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 45 |
Malaga
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 46 |
Almeria
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 47 |
Ceuta
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 48 |
Sant Andreu
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 49 |
Burgos
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 50 |
Cartagena
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | – | 3 |
| 51 |
SD Negreira
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | – | 3 |
| 52 |
Navalcarnero
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | – | 3 |
| 53 |
Girona
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | – | 3 |
| 54 |
Espanol
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 55 |
Manises
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | – | 3 |
| 56 |
Real Ávila
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.4 | 3 |
| 57 |
Cieza
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | – | 3 |
| 58 |
Torrent
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 3 |
| 59 |
Sabadell
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 3 |
| 60 |
Portugalete
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 3 |
| 61 |
Textil Escudo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 3 |
| 62 |
Los Garres
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | – | 3 |
| 63 |
Antequera
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 64 |
Ibiza
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 65 |
Atlético Astorga
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 66 |
Tarazona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 67 |
UD Ourense
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 68 |
Europa Fc
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 69 |
Langreo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 70 |
Quintanar del Rey
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | – | 1 |
| 71 |
Betis Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | – | 1 |
| 72 |
Ebro
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 73 |
Universitario FC
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 74 |
Mirandes
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 75 |
Sporting Ceuta
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 76 |
Reddis
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 77 |
Ferrol
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 78 |
Campanario
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | – | 1 |
| 79 |
Pontevedra
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | – | 1 |
| 80 |
Alberite
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | – | 1 |
| 81 |
Orihuela
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 82 |
Constància
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 83 |
Mérida AD
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 84 |
Cacereño
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 85 |
Poblense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 86 |
Teruel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 87 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 88 |
Atlètic Lleida
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 89 |
Castellon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 90 |
Real Avilés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 91 |
Valladolid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 92 |
Caudal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 93 |
Cordoba
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 94 |
Puente Genil
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | – | 0 |
| 95 |
Oviedo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 96 |
Náxara
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 97 |
UD Logroñés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 98 |
Ucam Murcia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 99 |
Real Jaén
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 100 |
Las Palmas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 101 |
Estepona
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 102 |
Tropezón
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 103 |
Mutilvera
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 104 |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 105 |
Gimnastic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 106 |
Lorca Deportiva
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 107 |
La Unión Atlético
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | – | 0 |
| 108 |
Rayo Majadahonda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 109 |
Azuaga
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 110 |
Lourdes
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 111 |
Toledo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 112 |
Arenas Getxo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 113 |
Utebo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 114 |
San Fernando CD
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 0 |
| 115 |
Valle Egüés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | – | 0 |
| 116 |
Roda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | – | 0 |
| 117 |
Sámano
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | – | 0 |
| 118 |
SD Logroñés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | – | 0 |
| 119 |
RSD Alcalá
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | – | 0 |
| 120 |
Atletico Calatayud
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | – | 0 |
| 121 |
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | – | 0 |
| 122 |
Atlético Melilla
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | – | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.