Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Norwich
Southampton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
29 | 27 | 1 | 1 | +45 | 82 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | +40 | 60 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +30 | 53 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 5 |
Man United
|
29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 |
Sheffield United
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 8 |
Tottenham
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 41 |
| 9 |
Arsenal
|
29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | +1 | 40 |
| 10 |
Burnley
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 39 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -6 | 39 |
| 12 |
Everton
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -16 | 35 |
| 14 |
Southampton
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 |
West Ham
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 |
Watford
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -17 | 27 |
| 18 |
Bournemouth
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -18 | 27 |
| 19 |
Aston Villa
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -22 | 26 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -27 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Godfrey
D
K. McLean
M
T. Trybull
M
E. Buendía
M
T. Cantwell
M
Coach: D. Farke
J. Stephens
D
J. Bednarek
D
S. Armstrong
M
P. Højbjerg
M
J. Ward-Prowse
M
Coach: R. Hasenhüttl
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Norwich
Norwich
Leicester
Wolves
Norwich
Norwich
Liverpool
Newcastle
Norwich
Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.