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Europa League
Referee: M Redder
FK Tobol Kostanay
S T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Ružomberok
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Ružomberok
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
7,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
5,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Ružomberok – FK Tobol Kostanay 5–2

Match report

FK Tobol Kostanay Ružomberok
1–0 A. El Messaoudi ⚽
I. Ivanović
8′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Tučný
↦ M. Kelemen
David Henen 🟨
47′
Rui Costa 🔁
↦ T. Mosiashvili
62′
70′
🔁 J. Maslo
↦ A. Mojžiš
75′
🟨 Matúš Malý
Z. Zhumashev 🔁
↦ D. Henen
75′
79′
🔁 Š. Gerec
↦ M. Chrien
88′
🟨 Adam Tučný
91′
🔁 M. Boďa
↦ J. Hladík
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay

3-4-1-2
1 S. Pokatilov G
15 A. Gabaraev D
55 I. Miladinović D
5 P. N'Diaye D
16 E. Tapalov M
13 T. Mosiashvili M
6 E. Ededem M
11 I. Chesnokov M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
77 D. Henen M
10 I. Ivanović M
Bench (11)
20 Rui Costa
7 Z. Zhumashev
25 R. Bozhko
19 R. Valiullin
3 R. Asrankulov
21 R. Tsonev
51 B. Galym
28 Y. Shakhov
35 Y. Melikhov
12 S. Busurmanov
4 E. Abdulla

Coach: N. Zhumaskaliev

Ružomberok

3-4-3
34 T. Frühwald G
16 D. Köstl M
32 M. Malý D
2 A. Mojžiš D
4 O. Luterán D
11 S. Lavrinčík M
6 T. Múdry M
8 K. Domonkos M
14 J. Hladík F
26 M. Kelemen F
30 M. Chrien M
Bench (11)
17 A. Tučný
3 J. Maslo
15 Š. Gerec
18 M. Boďa
35 B. Sokol
19 M. Gomola
5 R. Božík
1 D. Ťapaj
23 M. Madleňák
13 D. Jackuliak
20 M. Chobot

Coach: O. Smetana

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.