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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
QPR
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 42/40 matches
Win Ø 41%
33%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 17. · Sheffield Weds 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 42 27 8 7 +36 89
2 Newcastle 42 26 7 9 +39 85
3 Huddersfield 38 23 5 10 +7 74
4 Leeds 42 22 7 13 +16 73
5 Reading 39 22 7 10 +6 73
6 Fulham 41 19 13 9 +20 70
7 Sheffield Weds 40 19 9 12 +10 66
8 Derby 42 17 11 14 +3 62
9 Preston 42 16 13 13 +7 61
10 Norwich 42 17 9 16 +8 60
11 Brentford 42 17 8 17 +10 59
12 Aston Villa 43 15 13 15 -1 58
13 Barnsley 42 15 11 16 +1 56
14 Cardiff 42 15 10 17 -3 55
15 Ipswich 42 12 16 14 -7 52
16 Wolves 41 14 9 18 -3 51
17 QPR 42 14 8 20 -9 50
18 Bristol City 42 13 8 21 -7 47
19 Birmingham 42 11 14 17 -19 47
20 Nott'm Forest 42 12 9 21 -11 45
21 Burton Albion 42 11 12 19 -15 45
22 Blackburn 42 10 13 19 -15 43
23 Wigan 42 10 10 22 -15 40
24 Rotherham 42 4 6 32 -58 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Sheffield Weds
12′
A. Reach 0–1
1–1 Idrissa Sylla
J. Mackie
20′
31′
D. Pudil 1–2
Half-time 1–2
K. LuaLua 🔁
↦ M. Petrasso
46′
61′
🟨 Adam Reach
C. Washington 🔁
↦ J. Robinson
62′
67′
🔁 Semedo
↦ R. Wallace
67′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ G. Hooper
M. Smith 🔁
↦ R. Manning
75′
James Perch 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 A. Nuhiu
↦ J. Rhodes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

3-5-2
1 A. Smithies
24 J. Perch D
6 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
18 J. Robinson D
40 Idrissa Sylla F
25 M. Petrasso D
21 M. Luongo M
41 R. Manning M
12 J. Mackie F
2 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
28 K. LuaLua
9 C. Washington
17 M. Smith
10 S. Goss
13 M. Ingram
15 P. Wszołek
23 Y. N'Gbakoto

Coach: I. Holloway

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
12 G. Loovens D
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
33 R. Wallace M
3 D. Jones M
41 B. Bannan M
16 L. Palmer D
17 J. Rhodes F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
24 Semedo
45 F. Forestieri
44 A. Nuhiu
2 J. Wildsmith
6 S. Fletcher
10 C. McManaman
39 V. Sasso

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.