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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Paris SG

U S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Guingamp

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/31 matches

Win Ø 53%

70%

35%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

57%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

40%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	31	23	5	3	+62	74
2	Nice	32	20	10	2	+26	70
3	Paris SG	30	21	5	4	+39	68
4	Lyon	32	17	3	12	+26	54
5	Bordeaux	32	13	10	9	+7	49
6	Marseille	32	13	9	10	+6	48
7	St Etienne	31	11	12	8	+10	45
8	Nantes	32	11	9	12	-15	42
9	Toulouse	32	10	11	11	+0	41
10	Guingamp	31	11	8	12	-1	41
11	Rennes	32	9	13	10	-8	40
12	Angers	32	11	6	15	-9	39
13	Lille	32	10	7	15	-8	37
14	Montpellier	32	9	9	14	-10	36
15	Metz	31	9	8	14	-30	35
16	Caen	32	9	5	18	-23	32
17	Nancy	32	8	7	17	-17	31
18	Lorient	32	9	4	19	-25	31
19	Dijon	32	6	11	15	-10	29
20	Bastia	32	6	10	16	-20	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	15	13	1	1	+41	40
2	Nice	16	12	4	0	+21	40
3	Paris SG	15	10	5	0	+24	35
4	Marseille	16	10	4	2	+14	34
5	Lyon	16	11	0	5	+20	33
6	Guingamp	15	9	3	3	+11	30
7	Rennes	16	8	6	2	+9	30
8	Bordeaux	17	8	5	4	+6	29
9	Toulouse	16	8	4	4	+11	28
10	St Etienne	16	7	7	2	+11	28
11	Montpellier	16	7	5	4	+9	26
12	Angers	16	7	5	4	+7	26
13	Metz	15	6	5	4	-7	23
14	Caen	16	7	2	7	-9	23
15	Nantes	16	6	4	6	-8	22
16	Dijon	16	5	5	6	+3	20
17	Nancy	16	6	2	8	-1	20
18	Lorient	16	6	2	8	-8	20
19	Bastia	16	3	9	4	+0	18
20	Lille	16	5	3	8	-4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	16	10	4	2	+21	34
2	Paris SG	15	11	0	4	+15	33
3	Nice	16	8	6	2	+5	30
4	Lyon	16	6	3	7	+6	21
5	Bordeaux	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Nantes	16	5	5	6	-7	20
7	Lille	16	5	4	7	-4	19
8	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-1	17
9	Marseille	16	3	5	8	-8	14
10	Toulouse	16	2	7	7	-11	13
11	Angers	16	4	1	11	-16	13
12	Metz	16	3	3	10	-23	12
13	Guingamp	16	2	5	9	-12	11
14	Nancy	16	2	5	9	-16	11
15	Lorient	16	3	2	11	-17	11
16	Rennes	16	1	7	8	-17	10
17	Montpellier	16	2	4	10	-19	10
18	Bastia	16	3	1	12	-20	10
19	Dijon	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Caen	16	2	3	11	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.