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Champions League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Plzen
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Qarabag
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
80%
67%
Both score Ø 72%
60%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,2
This season — Champions League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 62%
80%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
80%
57%
Both score Ø 66%
60%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 3
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -22 Qarabag – Plzen 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.