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Champions League
Referee: J Sanchez
Paris SG
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Liverpool
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 64%
58%
70%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
83%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
75%
30%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,35 xG 0,17
74% Possession 26%
18 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -25 Liverpool – Paris SG 0–1 5. Mar -25 Paris SG – Liverpool 0–1

Match report

Paris SG Liverpool
1–0 D. Doue ⚽
11′
28′
🟨 Joe Gomez
31′
🟨 Alexis Mac Allister
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Kvaratskhelia ⚽
J. Neves
65′
Warren Zaïre-Emery ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
71′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ D. Doue
78′
78′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ F. Wirtz
78′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ D. Szoboszlai
78′
🔁 A. Robertson
↦ M. Kerkez
78′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ H. Ekitike
L. Hernandez 🔁
↦ O. Dembele
88′
91′
🔁 T. Nyoni
↦ J. Frimpong
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
14 D. Doue F
10 O. Dembele F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (10)
30 L. Chevalier
89 R. Marin
9 G. Ramos
24 S. Mayulu
27 D. Fernandez
21 L. Hernandez
19 Lee Kang-In
6 I. Zabarnyi
4 L. Beraldo
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Liverpool

3-5-2
25 G. Mamardashvili G
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
2 J. Gomez D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
6 M. Kerkez M
7 F. Wirtz F
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (10)
74 K. Misciur
28 F. Woodman
11 M. Salah
14 F. Chiesa
18 C. Gakpo
17 C. Jones
26 A. Robertson
9 A. Isak
42 T. Nyoni
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.