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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Liverpool
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
5,0
Scored
2,0
4,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+3,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 72%
89%
55%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
55%
Both score Ø 35%
33%
36%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,64 xG 2,56
46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Mar -25 Paris SG – Liverpool 0–1

Match report

Liverpool Paris SG
12′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Marquinhos
67′
🔁 D. Doué
↦ B. Barcola
D. Núñez 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
73′
J. Quansah 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
73′
C. Jones 🔁
↦ A. Mac Allister
90′
90′
🔁 W. Zaïre-Emery
↦ Fabián Ruiz
Alexis Mac Allister 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 Beraldo
↦ Marquinhos
101′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ L. Díaz
102′
H. Elliott 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
105′
W. Endō 🔁
↦ I. Konaté
111′
121′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ João Neves
121′
⚽ Vitinha 0–2
1–2 Mohamed Salah ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ Gonçalo Ramos 1–3
D. Núñez ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ O. Dembélé 1–4
C. Jones ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ D. Doué 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
7 L. Díaz M
20 Diogo Jota F
Bench (11)
9 D. Núñez
78 J. Quansah
17 C. Jones
18 C. Gakpo
19 H. Elliott
3 W. Endō
62 C. Kelleher
53 J. McConnell
21 K. Tsimikas
14 F. Chiesa
56 V. Jaroš

Coach: A. Slot

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
29 B. Barcola F
10 O. Dembélé F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
14 D. Doué
35 Beraldo
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
19 Lee Kang-In
9 Gonçalo Ramos
49 I. Mbaye
3 P. Kimpembe
24 S. Mayulu
80 Arnau Tenas
39 M. Safonov
21 L. Hernández

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.