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Champions League
Referee: U Schnyder
St. Gilloise
U S S S S
0–4
Full-time
Newcastle
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,88 xG 2,76
43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Newcastle
17′
⚽ N. Woltemade 0–1
S. Tonali
35′
🟨 Joelinton
Kamiel Van de Perre 🟨
39′
43′
⚽ A. Gordon 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Giger 🔁
↦ P. David
46′
Christian Burgess 🟨
51′
Kevin Mac Allister 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 L. Miley
↦ Joelinton
Marc Giger 🟨
60′
62′
ℹ️ Anthony Gordon
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
⚽ A. Gordon 0–3
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ K. Van De Perre
67′
R. Sykes 🔁
↦ K. Mac Allister
67′
73′
🔁 L. Hall
↦ Bruno Guimaraes
73′
🔁 H. Barnes
↦ A. Elanga
73′
🔁 W. Osula
↦ N. Woltemade
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ K. Rodriguez
74′
L. Patris 🔁
↦ A. Khalaili
78′
80′
⚽ H. Barnes 0–4
W. Osula
83′
🔁 F. Schar
↦ K. Trippier
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
37 K. Scherpen G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
25 A. Khalaili M
8 A. Zorgane M
6 K. Van De Perre M
22 O. Niang M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
13 K. Rodriguez F
12 P. David F
Bench (10)
1 V. Chambaere
3 M. T. Barry
4 M. Rasmussen
11 Guilherme Smith
17 R. Schoofs
20 M. Giger
23 S. Boufal
26 R. Sykes
27 L. Patris
33 S. Berradi

Coach: David Hubert

Newcastle

4-3-3
1 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
33 D. Burn D
39 Bruno Guimaraes M
8 S. Tonali M
7 Joelinton M
20 A. Elanga F
27 N. Woltemade F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (11)
32 A. Ramsdale
31 M. Thompson
3 L. Hall
5 F. Schar
11 H. Barnes
17 E. Krafth
18 W. Osula
23 J. Murphy
28 J. Willock
37 A. Murphy
67 L. Miley

Coach: Eddie Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.