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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Dortmund
U S S T S
7–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,3
3,5
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+3,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

2,64 xG 2,20
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
13 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dortmund Celtic
6′
🟨 Kasper Schmeichel
1–0 E. Can ⚽
7′
9′
⚽ D. Maeda 1–1
A. Engels
2–1 K. Adeyemi ⚽
J. Brandt
11′
3–1 K. Adeyemi ⚽
29′
Pascal Groß 🟨
32′
4–1 S. Guirassy ⚽
40′
5–1 K. Adeyemi ⚽
42′
Half-time 5–1
46′
🔁 Álex Valle
↦ G. Taylor
46′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ Paulo Bernardo
J. Duranville 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
48′
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ P. Groß
61′
M. Beier 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
61′
R. Bensebaini 🔁
↦ Yan Couto
62′
63′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ N. Kühn
63′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ K. Furuhashi
6–1 S. Guirassy ⚽
N. Schlotterbeck
66′
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
70′
74′
🟨 Reo Hatate
7–1 F. Nmecha ⚽
79′
86′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ A. Johnston
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
93′
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
2 Yan Couto D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson D
23 E. Can M
13 P. Groß M
27 K. Adeyemi M
10 J. Brandt M
43 J. Gittens M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (9)
16 J. Duranville
8 F. Nmecha
14 M. Beier
5 R. Bensebaini
20 M. Sabitzer
25 N. Süle
35 M. Lotka
46 A. Azhil
33 A. Meyer

Coach: N. Şahin

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (12)
11 Álex Valle
41 R. Hatate
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
9 A. Idah
56 A. Ralston
17 M. Nawrocki
29 S. Bain
49 J. Forrest
14 L. McCowan
57 S. Welsh
7 L. Palma
12 V. Sinisalo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.