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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Lykke
FA 2000
S T S S T
1–5
Full-time
HB Koge
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FA 2000 HB Koge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
5,3
4,2
Scored
3,5
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
36 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
38 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
39 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
40 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FA 2000 HB Koge
1–0 S. Reimers Søndergaard
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Larsen
↦ G. Larsen
46′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ E. Villumsen
46′
🔁 J. Rothmann
↦ I. Dorgu
46′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ S. Jalaei
L. Lodberg 🔁
↦ Abdul Arshad
53′
O. Rimmen 🔁
↦ S. Reimers Søndergaard
53′
M. Karoli 🔁
↦ C. Toftdahl
53′
53′
C. Jensen 1–1
64′
J. Rothmann 1–2
J. Lind 🔁
↦ M. Conley
70′
Y. Mokdad 🔁
↦ M. Madsen
70′
78′
🔁 J. Lawrence
↦ Y. Dhaflaoui
78′
J. Rothmann 1–3
80′
J. Arias 1–4
88′
J. Arias 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

FA 2000

27 P. Buck
31 Niklas Thomsen
2 W. Ravn
25 M. Madsen
8 C. Toftdahl
18 K. El Haddouchi
12 M. Conley
24 L. Svensson
11 P. Kaiser
14 Abdul Arshad
9 S. Reimers Søndergaard
Bench (9)
17 L. Lodberg
7 O. Rimmen
6 M. Karoli
21 J. Lind
23 Y. Mokdad
26 B. Ameti
20 F. Bonabi
1 R. Wedege
4 N. Lefevre

Coach: S. Haile

HB Koge

12 D. Talyspaev
5 G. Çulhacı
2 M. Gudmann
4 H. Bonnesen
22 M. Jakobsen
31 E. Villumsen
10 C. Jensen
28 G. Larsen
9 Y. Dhaflaoui
27 I. Dorgu
30 S. Jalaei
Bench (9)
3 S. Larsen
7 M. Jensen
11 J. Rothmann
26 J. Arias
24 J. Lawrence
1 B. Bayrak
21 N. Jakobsen
32 M. Rasmussen
33 A. Gøthler

Coach: N. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.