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Conference League
Referee: V Kastrati
FC Noah
S S S U
3–1
Full-time
AEK
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Noah AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 71%
75%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 29%
25%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,0
5,5
Scored
2,8
4,0
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FC Noah AEK
22′
⚽ L. García 0–1
1–1 V. Pinson ⚽
33′
Martin Gambos 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
A. Avanesyan 🔁
↦ M. Gamboš
46′
Gonçalo Gregório 🔁
↦ Matheus Aiás
46′
Pablo Santos 🟨
54′
Gustavo Sangaré 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Robert Ljubičić
2–1 O. Čančarević ⚽
67′
68′
🔁 A. Koïta
↦ M. Gaćinović
68′
🔁 R. Pereyra
↦ O. Pineda
69′
🔁 É. Lamela
↦ R. Ljubičić
72′
🔁 E. Hajisafi
↦ A. Callens
S. Muradyan 🔁
↦ V. Pinson
78′
78′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ N. Eliasson
79′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
H. Hambardzumyan 🔁
↦ Pablo Santos
82′
83′
🟨 Lazaros Rota
G. Petrosyan 🔁
↦ Hélder Ferreira
90′
3–1 Gonçalo Gregório ⚽
97′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Noah

4-3-3
22 O. Čančarević G
37 Gonçalo Silva D
26 A. Miljković D
4 G. Þórarinsson D
28 Pablo Santos D
20 M. Gamboš M
17 G. Sangaré M
27 G. Manvelyan M
93 V. Pinson F
9 Matheus Aiás F
7 Hélder Ferreira M
Bench (10)
18 A. Avanesyan
8 Gonçalo Gregório
3 S. Muradyan
19 H. Hambardzumyan
30 G. Petrosyan
11 E. Çinari
81 I. Oulad Omar
14 B. Mendoza
92 A. Ploshchadny
10 A. Dashyan

Coach: Rui Mota

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
4 D. Szymański M
13 O. Pineda M
19 N. Eliasson M
23 R. Ljubičić D
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. García F
Bench (12)
11 A. Koïta
37 R. Pereyra
9 É. Lamela
28 E. Hajisafi
5 N. Amrabat
22 Paolo Fernandes
20 P. Mantalos
24 G. Mitoglou
25 K. Galanopoulos
10 S. Zuber
99 G. Theocharis
3 S. Pilios

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Kastrati · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.