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Copa del Rey
Referee: Alexandre Alemán
Gimnástica Segoviana
3–4
Full-time
Sestao River
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +10 3
4 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
16 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
54 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
56 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
57 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Arosa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gimnástica Segoviana Sestao River
1–0 J. Silva ⚽
Javi Borrego
12′
36′
🔁 Álvaro Gete
↦ Kepa Uriarte
38′
⚽ Leandro Martínez 1–1
Half-time 1–2
52′
⚽ Jon Cabo 1–2
Jon Guruzeta
62′
🔁 Álex Carbonell
↦ Álvaro Mateo
62′
🔁 Aitor Aranzabe
↦ Jon Guruzeta
Hugo Díaz 🔁
↦ Iván Gómez
63′
73′
⚽ Álvaro Gete 1–3
Álvaro Merencio 🔁
↦ Manu Olmedilla
77′
Pedro Astray 🔁
↦ Javi Marcos
77′
79′
🔁 Adrián León
↦ Diego Mirapeix
79′
🔁 Asier del Río
↦ Leandro Martínez
2–3 Hugo Díaz ⚽
Rubén Yubero
93′
3–3 Hugo Díaz ⚽
Rubén Yubero
97′
98′
⚽ Jon Cabo 3–4
Aitor Aranzabe
101′
🔁 Ibai Sanz
↦ Jon Cabo
Álex Maroto 🔁
↦ Rubén Yubero
105′
Sergio Arévalo 🔁
↦ Javi Borrego
113′
Pablo Arranz 🔁
↦ Pedro Astray
113′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Gimnástica Segoviana

13 Héctor Oliva
17 Rubén Yubero
21 J. Silva
20 Abel Pascual
5 Javi Marcos
14 Fer Llorente
6 Manu Olmedilla
22 Juan de la Mata
16 Iván Gómez
9 Dani Segovia
10 Javi Borrego
Bench (11)
8 Hugo Díaz
19 Álvaro Merencio
11 Pedro Astray
15 Álex Maroto
3 Sergio Arévalo
7 Pablo Arranz
30 Iker
25 Álvaro
2 Hugo Marcos
28 Guillermo
1 Pablo Carmona

Coach: Ramsés

Sestao River

1 Sergi Puig
22 Markel Etxeberría
19 Armando
17 Rubén Lobato
5 Gaizka Martínez
3 Álvaro Mateo
12 Diego Mirapeix
9 Jon Cabo
11 Kepa Uriarte
21 Jon Guruzeta
10 Leandro Martínez
Bench (8)
14 Álvaro Gete
2 Álex Carbonell
7 Aitor Aranzabe
6 Adrián León
28 Asier del Río
20 Ibai Sanz
25 Javi Moreno
16 Álex Jiménez

Coach: Aitor Calle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.