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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Panathinaikos
T U U S U
1–0
Full-time
Marseille
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Panathinaikos Marseille
1′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
15′
🟨 Iliman Ndiaye
31′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
Filip Đuričić 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
L. Kleinheisler 🔁
↦ B. Verbič
58′
65′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
65′
🟥 Geoffrey Kondogbia
67′
🔁 V. Rongier
↦ A. Ounahi
Bernard 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
72′
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Šporar
72′
75′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ I. Sarr
75′
🔁 F. Mughe
↦ I. Ndiaye
Rubén Pérez 🟨
77′
A. Čerin 🔁
↦ T. Vilhena
78′
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ Juankar
79′
1–0 Bernard ⚽
F. Ioannidis
83′
85′
🔁 M. Guendouzi
↦ J. Veretout
86′
🔁 C. Mbemba
↦ P. Aubameyang
Bernard 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juankar D
4 Rubén Pérez M
52 T. Vilhena M
17 D. Mancini M
31 F. Đuričić M
77 B. Verbič M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (12)
8 L. Kleinheisler
10 Bernard
7 F. Ioannidis
16 A. Čerin
25 F. Mladenović
18 E. Çokaj
14 E. Palmer-Brown
34 S. Palacios
12 Y. Lodygin
27 G. Kotsiras
24 G. Sideras
15 V. Xenopoulos

Coach: I. Jovanović

Marseille

4-4-2
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
4 S. Gigot D
5 L. Balerdi D
12 Renan Lodi D
23 I. Sarr M
27 J. Veretout M
19 G. Kondogbia M
8 A. Ounahi M
29 I. Ndiaye F
10 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (12)
21 V. Rongier
11 A. Harit
24 F. Mughe
6 M. Guendouzi
99 C. Mbemba
17 C. Ünder
37 E. Soglo
34 B. Nadir
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
36 Rubén Blanco
95 S. Touré
9 Vítinha

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.