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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Marseille
T T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
28 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -23 Panathinaikos – Marseille 1–0

Match report

Marseille Panathinaikos
1–0 P. Aubameyang ⚽
I. Sarr
2′
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 🟨
7′
17′
🟨 Tin Jedvaj
25′
🟨 Alberto Brignoli
Half-time 2–0
2–0 P. Aubameyang ⚽
J. Clauss
46′
46′
🔁 S. Palacios
↦ B. Verbič
A. Harit 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
59′
63′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Šporar
63′
🔁 Bernard
↦ F. Đuričić
67′
🟨 Giorgos Vagiannidis
M. Guendouzi 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
68′
70′
🔁 A. Čerin
↦ T. Vilhena
70′
🔁 F. Mladenović
↦ Juankar
Vítinha 🔁
↦ P. Aubameyang
80′
88′
🟨 Daniel Mancini
91′
🟨 Adam Gnezda Čerin
95′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
97′
ℹ️ Bernard
VAR: Penalty confirmed
99′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 2–1
Jordan Veretout 🟨
101′
105′
🔁 L. Kleinheisler
↦ D. Mancini
Vitinha ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
112′
121′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 2–2
M. Guendouzi ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
⚽ Bernard 2–3
Rubén Blanco 🔁
↦ Pau López
124′
3–3 J. Veretout ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ L. Kleinheisler 3–4
4–4 I. Sarr ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ S. Palacios 4–5
5–5 Vítinha ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ F. Mladenović 5–6
Full-time 5–6

Line-ups

Marseille

4-4-2
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
4 S. Gigot D
99 C. Mbemba D
12 Renan Lodi D
23 I. Sarr M
21 V. Rongier M
27 J. Veretout M
8 A. Ounahi M
29 I. Ndiaye F
10 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (9)
11 A. Harit
6 M. Guendouzi
9 Vítinha
36 Rubén Blanco
5 L. Balerdi
95 S. Touré
37 E. Soglo
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
34 B. Nadir

Coach: Marcelino

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juankar D
4 Rubén Pérez M
52 T. Vilhena M
17 D. Mancini M
31 F. Đuričić M
77 B. Verbič M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (12)
34 S. Palacios
10 Bernard
7 F. Ioannidis
25 F. Mladenović
16 A. Čerin
8 L. Kleinheisler
12 Y. Lodygin
15 V. Xenopoulos
18 E. Çokaj
27 G. Kotsiras
24 G. Sideras
14 E. Palmer-Brown

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.