Svenska Cupen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tvååker
Kalmar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
IFK Luleå
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |
Falkenbergs FF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 3 |
| 3 |
Hudiksvall
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sandviken
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 5 |
Olympic
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 6 |
Brommapojkarna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 7 |
Jönköpings BK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 8 |
Vasteras SK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
United Nordic
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
AIK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Helsingborg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Smedby
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Degerfors
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 14 |
IFK Österåker
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |
IF Karlstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Karlshamn
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 17 |
Lucksta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Husqvarna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Berga
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
Stocksund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Jonsered
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 22 |
Tvååker
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 23 |
Trollhättan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
Dalstorps
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 25 |
GAIS
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 |
Stockholm Internazionale
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Varnamo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
IFK Hässleholm
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
Zenith
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Tyresö W
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Gefle IF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 |
Lund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hässleholms IF
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 34 |
Sollentuna
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 35 |
Dalkurd FF
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 36 |
Örebro Syrianska
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 37 |
Rosengård
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 38 |
Skellefteå
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 39 |
Haninge
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 40 |
Rågsved
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 41 |
Franke
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 42 |
Järfälla
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 43 |
Katrineholms SK
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 44 |
Roslagsbro
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 45 |
Ahlafors
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 46 |
Lindome
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 47 |
Räppe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 48 |
Huddinge
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 49 |
Karlberg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 50 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 51 |
FBK Karlstad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 52 |
Laholm
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 53 |
Oddevold
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 54 |
Uppsala
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 55 |
Vasalund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 56 |
IFK Malmö
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 57 |
Höllviken
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
IFK Östersund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 59 |
IFK Skövde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 60 |
Gute
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 61 |
Åsarp-Trädet
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 62 |
Göteborgs FF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 63 |
Täby
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 64 |
Torstorps
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 65 |
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 66 |
Skå IK Bygdegård
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 67 |
Högsäter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 68 |
Lindsdal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 69 |
Hemgårdarnas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 70 |
Simrishamn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 71 |
Korsnäs
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 72 |
Gottne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 73 |
Torestorp-Älekulla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.