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Svenska Cupen
Referee: R Sundell
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IF Karlstad Ostersunds FK
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 IFK Luleå 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Falkenbergs FF 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
4 Olympic 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Jönköpings BK 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 United Nordic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 AIK 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Smedby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 IFK Österåker 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 IF Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Karlshamn 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Lucksta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Husqvarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Jonsered 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Varnamo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 IFK Hässleholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Zenith 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Tyresö W 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Gefle IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Lund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
43 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Franke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
49 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
50 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
77 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
78 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.