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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Dinamo Zagreb
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Chelsea
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 7
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Chelsea
1–0 M. Oršić ⚽
B. Petković
13′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Ziyech
↦ César Azpilicueta
59′
🟨 Mason Mount
59′
🔁 A. Broja
↦ P. Aubameyang
59′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ M. Kovačić
67′
🟨 Kalidou Koulibaly
71′
🔁 Marc Cucurella
↦ B. Chilwell
75′
🔁 C. Pulišić
↦ R. Sterling
D. Špikić 🔁
↦ M. Oršić
76′
R. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ S. Moharrami
76′
M. Baturina 🔁
↦ A. Ademi
88′
Martin Baturina 🟨
96′
J. Drmić 🔁
↦ B. Petković
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

3-1-4-2
40 D. Livaković G
13 S. Ristovski D
37 J. Šutalo D
55 D. Perić D
27 J. Mišić M
2 S. Moharrami M
7 L. Ivanušec M
5 A. Ademi M
14 R. Ljubičić M
9 B. Petković F
99 M. Oršić F
Bench (12)
77 D. Špikić
6 R. Lauritsen
10 M. Baturina
18 J. Drmić
1 D. Zagorac
33 I. Nevistić
20 A. Marin
12 P. Bočkaj
3 D. Štefulj
28 K. Théophile-Catherine
31 M. Bulat
11 M. Emreli

Coach: A. Čačić

Chelsea

3-4-3
1 Kepa G
28 César Azpilicueta D
33 W. Fofana D
26 K. Koulibaly D
24 R. James M
19 M. Mount M
8 M. Kovačić M
21 B. Chilwell M
29 K. Havertz F
9 P. Aubameyang F
17 R. Sterling F
Bench (12)
22 H. Ziyech
18 A. Broja
5 Jorginho
32 Marc Cucurella
10 C. Pulišić
30 C. Chukwuemeka
23 C. Gallagher
20 D. Zakaria
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
14 T. Chalobah
16 É. Mendy
13 M. Bettinelli

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.