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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Leverkusen
S U T T S
0–3
Full-time
Porto
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -22 Porto – Leverkusen 2–0

Match report

Leverkusen Porto
6′
⚽ Galeno 0–1
Diogo Costa
Mitchel Bakker ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
15′
32′
🟨 João Mário
Patrik Schick ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Evanilson
↦ João Mário
52′
ℹ️ Wenderson Galeno
VAR: Penalty confirmed
53′
⚽ M. Taremi 0–2
Paulinho 🔁
↦ A. Adli
57′
Piero Hincapié 🟨
63′
64′
⚽ M. Taremi 0–3
Mitchel Bakker 🟨
65′
E. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ O. Kossounou
69′
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
69′
Paulinho 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 Bernardo Folha
↦ M. Uribe
85′
🔁 Gonçalo Borges
↦ Galeno
T. Fosu-Mensah 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
88′
92′
🟨 Gonçalo Borges
92′
🔁 D. Namaso
↦ M. Taremi
92′
🔁 Toni Martínez
↦ S. Eustáquio
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 O. Kossounou D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
5 M. Bakker D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
21 A. Adli M
19 M. Diaby M
17 C. Hudson-Odoi M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (8)
7 Paulinho
12 E. Tapsoba
23 A. Hložek
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
11 N. Amiri
40 A. Lunev
36 N. Lomb
32 A. Azhil

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
2 Fábio Cardoso D
4 David Carmo D
12 Z. Sanusi D
25 Otávio M
8 M. Uribe M
46 S. Eustáquio M
13 Galeno M
9 M. Taremi F
11 Pepê Aquino F
Bench (12)
30 Evanilson
87 Bernardo Folha
70 Gonçalo Borges
19 D. Namaso
29 Toni Martínez
7 Gabriel Veron
14 Cláudio Ramos
5 Iván Marcano
16 M. Grujić
28 Bruno Costa
22 Wendell
17 Rodrigo Conceição

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.