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Champions League
Referee: Jesús Gil
Benfica
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,5
This season — Champions League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Paris SG
22′
⚽ L. Messi 0–1
Neymar
0–2 Danilo Pereira ⚽
own goal
41′
Enzo Fernández 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
67′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Nuno Mendes
Gonçalo Ramos 🟨
70′
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
78′
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
78′
81′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ L. Messi
87′
🔁 Fabián Ruiz
↦ Vitinha
91′
🟨 Neymar
91′
🟨 Fabián Ruiz
Rodrigo Pinho 🔁
↦ David Neres
91′
94′
🟨 Marco Verratti
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
13 E. Fernández M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (12)
93 J. Draxler
8 F. Aursnes
18 Rodrigo Pinho
2 Gilberto
17 Diogo Gonçalves
33 P. Musa
25 J. Brooks
23 M. Ristić
31 Gil Dias
77 Helton Leite
22 Chiquinho
38 João Victor

Coach: R. Schmidt

Paris SG

3-4-2-1
99 G. Donnarumma G
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 Marquinhos D
15 Danilo Pereira D
2 A. Hakimi M
17 Vitinha M
6 M. Verratti M
25 Nuno Mendes M
30 L. Messi F
10 Neymar F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (10)
14 Juan Bernat
19 Pablo Sarabia
8 Fabián Ruiz
16 Sergio Rico
1 K. Navas
28 Carlos Soler
44 H. Ekitike
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
26 N. Mukiele
31 E. Bitshiabu

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.