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DBU Pokalen
Referee: A Staal
SGI
U T
0–6
Full-time
Middelfart
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SGI Middelfart
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+4,0
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match SGI 54. · Middelfart 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Middelfart 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 BSF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
11 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Fremad Amager 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 HB Koge 2 1 1 0 +4 4
20 Brabrand 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Nykobing FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +8 3
24 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
25 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
27 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 SGI 2 0 1 1 -1 1
55 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
56 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
97 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SGI Middelfart
20′
⚽ L. Thomsen 0–1
22′
⚽ L. Hayes 0–2
41′
⚽ M. Berthelsen 0–3
L. Hayes
Half-time 0–3
A. Ibsen 🔁
↦ T. Witt
46′
46′
🔁 D. Fazlagic
↦ P. Kristensen
50′
⚽ D. Fazlagic 0–4
S. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Mortensen
59′
59′
🔁 S. Ernst
↦ L. Thomsen
61′
⚽ L. Hayes 0–5
M. Jacobsen
68′
🔁 B. Zjajo
↦ A. Eriksen
O. Buur Thuesen 🔁
↦ R. Copsø
70′
J. Fischer 🔁
↦ J. Riber
70′
M. Humlebæk 🔁
↦ A. Lange
80′
82′
⚽ M. Berthelsen 0–6
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

SGI

1 Mikael Nielsen
4 J. Østergaard
14 A. Kristensen
9 D. Korkmaz
10 J. Riber
11 A. Lange
22 Morten Nielsen
21 R. Jensen
16 M. Mortensen
7 T. Witt
8 R. Copsø
Bench (8)
20 A. Ibsen
12 S. Hansen
18 O. Buur Thuesen
2 J. Fischer
6 M. Humlebæk
3 R. Sørensen
5 C. Just
17 M. Marcussen

Coach: J. Grønborg

Middelfart

88 A. Hoff
13 M. Mlynikowski
30 M. Høgsholt
12 L. Thomsen
19 P. Kristensen
21 A. Stage
28 L. Hayes
14 M. Jacobsen
8 M. Berthelsen
11 J. Villemoes
22 A. Eriksen
Bench (7)
90 D. Fazlagic
71 S. Ernst
5 B. Zjajo
1 C. Radza
3 M. Madsen
6 R. Kakeeto
9 M. Boesen

Coach: A. Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.