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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Lillestrom
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Viking
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
73%
18%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 11
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Viking 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Molde 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Odd 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Stromsgodset 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Haugesund 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Brann 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Viking 11 5 2 4 -1 17
8 Lillestrom 11 4 4 3 +4 16
9 Sarpsborg 08 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Sogndal 12 3 5 4 -1 14
11 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 12 3 2 7 -4 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 12 2 1 9 -12 7
16 Start 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Viking
Bassel Jradi 🟨
17′
22′
S. Abdullahi 0–1
S. Adegbenro
Bonke Innocent 🟨
28′
33′
🔁 M. Haukås
↦ J. Jørgensen
Half-time 0–1
M. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ F. Kippe
46′
M. Martin 🔁
↦ B. Innocent
59′
76′
🟨 Iven Austbø
1–1 M. Martin
77′
82′
🔁 Z. Bytyqi
↦ C. Kronberg
J. Kolstad 🔁
↦ M. Lundemo
86′
89′
🟨 AJ Soares
89′
S. Adegbenro 1–2
A. Soares
91′
🔁 P. Pedersen
↦ S. Abdullahi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 J. Faye Lund
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
5 O. Rindarøy M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (7)
22 M. Jakobsen
8 M. Martin
17 J. Kolstad
2 M. Falkeborn
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
15 E. Brenden
29 E. Ødegaard

Viking

1 I. Austbø G
14 A. Danielsen M
22 C. Kronberg D
6 K. Mets D
5 A. Soares D
28 K. Haugen D
4 J. Jørgensen D
10 B. Sverrisson M
16 A. Ibrahim M
7 S. Adegbenro F
8 S. Abdullahi F
Bench (7)
19 M. Haukås
11 Z. Bytyqi
9 P. Pedersen
20 T. Aasheim
24 P. Heigre
25 U. Sale
27 M. Bringaker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.