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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Stromsgodset
S S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stromsgodset 6. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 9 1 1 +16 28
2 Odd 11 7 2 2 +7 23
3 Molde 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Haugesund 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Brann 11 6 2 3 +2 20
6 Stromsgodset 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Viking 11 5 2 4 -1 17
8 Lillestrom 11 4 4 3 +4 16
9 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Sogndal 11 3 4 4 -1 13
11 Bodo/Glimt 11 3 2 6 -3 11
12 Valerenga 11 3 1 7 -4 10
13 Tromso 11 2 4 5 -11 10
14 Aalesund 11 2 2 7 -4 8
15 Stabaek 11 2 1 8 -9 7
16 Start 11 0 5 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08
1–0 J. Parr
10′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Joachim Thomassen
Bismark Adjei-Boateng 🟨
62′
2–0 G. Valsvik
Ø. Storflor
65′
66′
🟥 Ole Hansen
3–0 Ø. Storflor
68′
70′
🔁 J. Glesnes
↦ P. Kirkevold
P. Moen 🔁
↦ Francisco Junior
71′
4–0 Marcus Pedersen
L. Vilsvik
73′
74′
🔁 J. Lindberg
↦ P. Mortensen
M. Keita 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
78′
79′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ K. Tokstad
F. Kastrati 🔁
↦ Ø. Storflor
82′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
9 Ø. Storflor F
20 M. Abu M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Junior M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
8 P. Moen
77 M. Keita
15 F. Kastrati
7 T. Høiland
17 C. Lindquist
30 Ł. Jarosiński
46 S. Johansen

Sarpsborg 08

1 A. Østbø G
13 O. Hansen D
3 H. Toivomaki D
16 J. Thomassen D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
11 K. Tokstad M
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
23 J. Glesnes
10 J. Lindberg
22 J. Tveita
18 T. Hovda
19 K. Jónsson
20 A. Østli
21 A. Kristiansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.