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KNVB Beker
Referee: E van de Graaf
1–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quick Boys NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Groene Ster 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 RKAV Volendam 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 UNA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 DEM 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 TEC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 SJC Noordwijk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
16 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 SVV Scheveningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Lisse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
43 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
73 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
74 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.