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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
FC Emmen
S S T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Dordrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 28 4 1 +88 +66.3 88
2 Feyenoord 33 25 6 2 +62 +65.9 81
3 Twente 33 20 6 7 +32 +19.0 66
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 19 7 7 +31 +17.0 64
5 Ajax 33 15 10 8 +13 +10.4 55
6 Nijmegen 32 13 10 9 +14 -14.9 49
7 Utrecht 31 12 10 9 +2 -4.5 46
8 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 +1 -8.2 43
9 Go Ahead Eagles 31 11 9 11 +1 -6.6 42
10 Heerenveen 33 10 7 16 -16 -6.1 37
11 For Sittard 33 9 10 14 -19 +2.2 37
12 Zwolle 33 9 9 15 -21 -18.2 36
13 Almere City 33 7 13 13 -23 -16.5 34
14 Heracles 33 9 5 19 -33 -26.1 32
15 Waalwijk 33 7 8 18 -16 -10.9 29
16 Excelsior 33 6 11 16 -19 -11.3 29
17 Vitesse 33 6 5 22 -44 -24.0 23
18 Volendam 33 4 7 22 -53 -33.4 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Dordrecht
1–0 P. Parzyszek
11′
26′
M. Suray 1–1
S. ’t Zand
2–1 V. Besuijen
38′
45′
🟨 Léo Seydoux
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Tsoungui
↦ J. van der Avert
46′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ L. Seydoux
Jorrit Smeets 🟨
47′
50′
I. Bronkhorst 2–2
D. Mbayo
Piotr Parzyszek 🟨
61′
M. Heylen 🔁
↦ B. van Hoeven
65′
70′
🔁 J. Schuurman
↦ S. ’t Zand
P. Brouwer 🔁
↦ J. Smeets
72′
J. Konings 🔁
↦ P. Parzyszek
72′
Maikel Kieftenbeld 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 A. Segecic
↦ K. Osundina
Vicente Besuijen 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Ruben Kluivert
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Oelschlägel G
4 M. te Wierik D
14 D. Vos D
24 J. Dirksen D
3 J. Hardeveld D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
8 L. Bernadou M
17 B. van Hoeven M
25 J. Smeets M
7 V. Besuijen M
9 P. Parzyszek F
Bench (10)
13 M. Heylen
21 P. Brouwer
29 J. Konings
10 D. Ubbink
16 K. van Dorp
22 J. Hoekstra
23 F. Hammouti
34 G. Bolk
28 M. Pouwels
19 B. Scholte

Coach: A. Arts

Dordrecht

4-2-3-1
1 L. Plogmann G
2 L. Seydoux D
15 R. Kluivert D
3 J. van der Avert D
5 J. Hilton D
6 T. Receveur M
22 S. ’t Zand M
7 D. Mbayo M
20 M. Suray M
40 I. Sebaoui M
17 K. Osundina F
Bench (10)
4 A. Tsoungui
14 I. Bronkhorst
10 J. Schuurman
16 A. Segecic
31 T. Doornbusch
26 D. van Vianen
63 Celton Biai
21 R. Shein
24 B. Smolarczyk
28 Elso Brito

Coach: M. Santoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.