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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Sp Lisbon
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
75%
88%
Both score Ø 82%
100%
63%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,84 xG 0,81
46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Dec -24 Club Brugge – Sp Lisbon 2–1

Match report

Sp Lisbon Club Brugge
Morten Hjulmand 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
10′
Morten Hjulmand 🟨
11′
20′
🟨 Raphael Onyedika
1–0 G. Quenda ⚽
G. Catamo
24′
2–0 L. Suarez ⚽
G. Catamo
31′
Half-time 2–0
61′
🔁 N. Tresoldi
↦ R. Vermant
H. Morita 🔁
↦ J. Simoes
63′
68′
🟨 Christos Tzolis
3–0 Trincao ⚽
G. Quenda
70′
74′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ C. Forbs
74′
🔁 M. Diakhon
↦ A. Stankovic
75′
🟨 Brandon Mechele
75′
🟨 Joaquin Seys
Alisson Santos 🔁
↦ G. Quenda
76′
S. Blopa 🔁
↦ G. Catamo
76′
81′
🔁 Z. Romero
↦ J. Seys
81′
🔁 J. Spileers
↦ H. Siquet
Matheus Reis 🔁
↦ M. Araujo
86′
R. Ribeiro 🔁
↦ L. Suarez
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
22 I. Fresneda D
26 O. Diomande D
25 G. Inacio D
20 M. Araujo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
52 J. Simoes M
10 G. Catamo M
17 Trincao M
7 G. Quenda M
97 L. Suarez F
Bench (12)
12 J. Virginia
2 Matheus Reis
5 H. Morita
13 G. Vagiannidis
14 G. Kochorashvili
27 Alisson Santos
28 R. Ribeiro
54 Bruno Ramos
58 F. Goncalves
70 S. Blopa
72 E. Quaresma
91 R. Mangas

Coach: Rui Borges

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
29 N. Jackers G
41 H. Siquet D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
15 R. Onyedika M
9 C. Forbs M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
17 R. Vermant F
Bench (12)
16 D. van den Heuvel
22 S. Mignolet
2 Z. Romero
7 N. Tresoldi
10 H. Vetlesen
11 C. Sandra
19 G. Nilsson
24 V. Osuji
58 J. Spileers
67 M. Diakhon
82 S. Gomez van Hoogen
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.