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Pro League

Referee: Lothar D'hondt

Antwerp

T T T S U

1–2

Full-time

Genk

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 39%

35%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

68%

Both score Ø 62%

45%

79%

Average goals

2,1

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,03 xG 1,87

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 0

6 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antwerp 9. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	20	16	1	3	+20	+9.0	49
2	St. Gilloise	20	13	7	0	+26	+19.5	46
3	St Truiden	20	13	2	5	+12	+15.7	41
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	19	11	2	6	+8	+3.3	35
6	Genk	19	8	5	6	+4	+4.9	29
7	Anderlecht	20	7	6	7	+3	+4.7	27
8	Cercle Brugge	24	7	6	11	-5	-1.9	27
9	Antwerp	20	7	5	8	+2	-2.8	26
10	Waregem	24	7	3	14	-10	-7.3	24
11	Standard	20	6	5	9	-13	-9.8	23
12	Westerlo	20	5	7	8	-7	+0.2	22
13	RAAL La Louviere	24	4	10	10	-9	-9.5	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	5	6	9	-9	-4.8	21
15	Charleroi	20	5	4	11	-6	-3.4	19
16	Dender	24	2	6	16	-27	-13.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	10	0	0	+21	+11.7	30
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	10	7	0	3	+2	+7.4	21
4	Gent	9	6	0	3	+8	+1.1	18
5	Genk	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.6	17
6	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
7	Waregem	12	5	1	6	-1	-0.7	16
8	Antwerp	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.5	15
9	Anderlecht	10	3	4	3	+5	+6.8	13
10	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	-1	+2.2	12
11	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	6	4	-4	-4.6	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-16	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+12	+6.0	27
2	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
3	Cercle Brugge	12	6	3	3	+5	+0.1	21
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.3	20
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+0	+2.2	17
6	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
7	Standard	10	5	0	5	-6	-7.2	15
8	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
9	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	-1.7	12
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	Charleroi	10	3	1	6	-3	-0.9	10
13	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
14	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
15	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8
16	Dender	12	1	4	7	-11	-7.5	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.