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Bundesliga

Referee: A Sadikovski

Ried

U T T S T

3–2

Full-time

Altach

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Altach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,88 xG 0,42

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ried 9. · Altach 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	24	13	3	8	+10	+7.0	42
2	SK Rapid	24	11	6	7	+4	-2.2	39
3	Austria Vienna	24	12	3	9	+2	+3.0	39
4	Salzburg	24	10	8	6	+15	+9.3	38
5	LASK	24	11	5	8	+0	+5.5	38
6	Hartberg	24	8	10	6	+4	-6.8	34
7	Altach	24	8	9	7	+1	-4.8	33
8	Tirol	24	8	7	9	-4	+1.9	31
9	Ried	24	9	4	11	-4	-4.9	31
10	Wolfsberger AC	24	7	6	11	-3	-9.7	27
11	Grazer AK	24	6	8	10	-8	+1.2	26
12	BW Linz	24	5	3	16	-17	+0.4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	12	6	5	1	+6	-0.2	23
2	LASK	12	7	2	3	+3	+4.3	23
3	SK Rapid	12	6	2	4	+4	-0.8	20
4	Salzburg	12	5	3	4	+7	+5.2	18
5	Tirol	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.3	18
6	Ried	12	5	3	4	+0	-0.4	18
7	Grazer AK	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.3	17
8	Sturm Graz	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.9	17
9	Austria Vienna	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.8	17
10	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	4	4	+2	-2.6	16
11	Hartberg	12	4	4	4	+1	-0.8	16
12	BW Linz	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	8	1	3	+12	+5.1	25
2	Austria Vienna	12	7	1	4	+6	+2.2	22
3	Salzburg	12	5	5	2	+8	+4.2	20
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+0	-1.4	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
6	LASK	12	4	3	5	-3	+1.2	15
7	Ried	12	4	1	7	-4	-4.5	13
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	2	7	-5	-7.1	11
10	Altach	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.6	10
11	Grazer AK	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.1	9
12	BW Linz	12	1	2	9	-14	-1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.