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Pro League

Referee: B Put

St. Gilloise

U U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Mechelen

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

82%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

82%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

64%

18%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,95

51% Possession 49%

24 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Mechelen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+18	+12.0	28
2	Anderlecht	12	8	3	1	+13	+9.6	27
3	Cercle Brugge	11	9	0	2	+12	+11.2	27
4	Club Brugge	13	7	3	3	+16	+19.2	24
5	Antwerp	11	5	5	1	+18	+12.5	20
6	Gent	12	5	5	2	+5	+5.5	20
7	Genk	11	5	4	2	+13	+14.8	19
8	Standard	13	4	5	4	-5	-12.4	17
9	RWD Molenbeek	14	4	4	6	-11	-14.4	16
10	Mechelen	11	4	3	4	+0	-2.8	15
11	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-7	-5.8	12
12	St Truiden	11	2	5	4	-8	-6.1	11
13	Charleroi	14	2	5	7	-10	-8.3	11
14	Eupen	14	2	2	10	-20	-21.9	8
15	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-20	-7.2	8
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	1	2	9	-14	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
2	Cercle Brugge	5	5	0	0	+8	+6.2	15
3	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
4	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+16	+11.8	14
5	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+12	+9.1	14
6	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.9	12
7	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
8	Standard	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.9	11
9	RWD Molenbeek	7	3	2	2	+0	-3.6	11
10	Genk	6	2	3	1	+5	+7.9	9
11	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	-2	+0.3	9
12	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.4	8
13	Westerlo	6	2	0	4	-5	-4.7	6
14	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	1	3	+0	-3.0	4
16	Eupen	6	1	1	4	-9	-8.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	5	1	1	+6	+5.1	16
2	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.0	12
3	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
4	Genk	5	3	1	1	+8	+6.9	10
5	Club Brugge	7	3	1	3	+4	+10.1	10
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.1	6
8	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.6	6
9	Standard	6	1	3	2	-6	-7.6	6
10	Gent	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.7	5
11	RWD Molenbeek	7	1	2	4	-11	-10.8	5
12	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
13	Eupen	8	1	1	6	-11	-13.9	4
14	Charleroi	7	0	2	5	-8	-8.6	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-14	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.